{"id":8998,"date":"2023-02-09T17:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-09T17:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxpolicy.org.uk\/?p=8998"},"modified":"2024-01-21T23:11:49","modified_gmt":"2024-01-21T23:11:49","slug":"ebooks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/heacham.neidles.com\/2023\/02\/09\/ebooks\/","title":{"rendered":"The abolition of VAT on ebooks was a \u00a3200m handout to publishers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
The UK charged<\/em><\/strong> 20% VAT on ebooks until May 2020, when it was abolished<\/a> following a lobbying campaign by the publishing industry. They claimed that consumers would benefit from lower prices. Our analysis shows that this didn’t happen – publishers retained the VAT saving for themselves, costing the country \u00a3200m<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n Books have always benefited from 0% VAT. Ebooks were subject to 20% VAT.1<\/a><\/sup>Historically, EU law permitted reduced or 0% VAT on books, but required ebooks to be subject to the full rate – so 20% in the UK. That was changed in October 2018, permitting Member States flexibility in what rate they applied.<\/span> An EU law change in 20182<\/a><\/sup>In July 2019 many EU states reduced the rate of VAT on ebooks<\/a>. The UK didn’t follow until March 2020, when the then-Chancellor Rishi Sunak announced that the UK would cut the rate to 0%<\/a> from end 2020. Then in April 2020 he announced the cut would be accelerated to May 2020<\/a>.<\/span> permitted the UK to reduce the rate of VAT on ebooks, which the UK initially resisted. Following a lobbying campaign<\/a> from the publishing industry, the UK scrapped3<\/a><\/sup>Technically this was a reduction in VAT from 20% to 0%, which is different from an exemption (and more favourable, because it means retailers\/publishers can claim a refund of VAT on their inputs\/expenses). In the interests of clarity we will use terms like “scrapped” and “cut” because we think that is easier to understand, and the further technical consequences of a 0% rate are not relevant to this report<\/span> VAT on ebooks4<\/a><\/sup>VAT was also cut for electronic newspapers\/magazines, but that’s outside the scope of this report<\/span> in March 2020. The cost to the Exchequer was \u00a3200m.5<\/a><\/sup>See page 66 of the March 2020 Budget Red Book<\/a>, item 15<\/span> <\/p>\n\n\n\n The Axe The Reading Tax Campaign<\/a> (run by the Publishers Association) said that removing VAT from ebooks would result in lower prices for consumers:<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n Did it?<\/p>\n\n\n We analysed the detailed ONS sampling data of ebook pricing, compiled as part of the consumer price index. We found no significant change in ebook pricing around the time of the VAT cut. Full details of the ONS analysis are below.<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n This is the key chart, showing the change in average pricing for the 23 months6<\/a><\/sup>We set the cut-off at 23 months because inflation tends to dominate after Q1 2023<\/span> before and after the VAT cut, for both ebooks and other comparable products:<\/p>\n\n\n\n The VAT cut means that ebook publishers could have cut their prices by 17%7<\/a><\/sup>Why 17% and not 20%? Because a \u00a310 ebook before May 2020 represented a \u00a38.33 price plus \u00a31.67 VAT. After May 2020, the publisher could charge \u00a38.33 and receive the same net proceeds – that’s a 17% price cut to the consumer.<\/span> and made the same profit. They didn’t. Over this period there were 8%+ price reductions for comparable products – computer game and app downloads – where there was no VAT cut. There were no overall price reductions for ebooks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We also analysed individual pricing data for the 30 best-selling ebooks on Amazon UK in 2020 (as Amazon is by far the most significant ebook retailer). Only (at most) four out of thirty showed a sustained price reduction which could plausibly have been attributed to the May 2020 VAT cut. That likely overstates the effect.8<\/a><\/sup>Overstates because these changes could be coincidental; only one was the “correct” percentage price cut at the “correct” date; also the prices of individual books tend to fall after they are published. The ONS data samples the ebook market as a whole, and so is not prone to these problems.<\/span> Full details of price movements on these ebooks are below.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n VAT was also cut for electronically delivered newspapers and magazines – that’s not something we’ve looked into in this report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Perhaps there was a benefit to consumers, but that was hidden by increased costs\/inflation?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This is often the excuse for a failure to pass on VAT cuts, but it doesn’t wash here – this is an unusually clear effect:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Perhaps the cost of paper was rising, so book prices increased, and publishers felt ebook pricing had to follow book pricing?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n There’s no evidence of that. Paperback fiction pricing dropped slightly across the period we looked at (1%); non-fiction pricing rose slightly (5%).<\/p>\n\n\n Amazon dominates the UK ebook market<\/a>. Precise up-to-date figures are hard to come by, but its UK market share in 2015 was estimated as 95%<\/a>; that has now come down, perhaps to the level of its global ebook market share of around 67%<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n However, ebook prices are set by publishers, not Amazon. The publishers lobbied for the VAT cut. In May 2020 they could have reduced their prices by 17% and received the same post-VAT income. They didn’t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Amazon generally retains a royalty of around 30%, so we can say that of the \u00a3200m annual cost of the VAT abolition, Amazon received about \u00a360m and publishers\/authors about \u00a3140m. <\/p>\n\n\n\n To put these figures in context, the publishing industry’s UK profit in 2021 was probably around \u00a3200m. Even after increased author royalty payments, this looks like a very significant enhancement to publisher profitability9<\/a><\/sup>Publishing industry UK revenue was \u00a33bn in 2021<\/a>, with a profit margin of about 6% (that figure is a rough estimate from industry sources)<\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n Our conclusions above are unlikely to surprise either consumers or tax policy specialists. They reflect what we found when we analysed the impact of the January 2021 abolition of VAT on tampons<\/a>. We believe they also accord with common sense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Professor Rita de la Feria is Chair in Tax Law at the University of Leeds, and probably the world’s leading academic expert on VAT. Professor de la Feria has previously written about how special interest groups (publishers, in this case) lobby for favourable VAT changes<\/a>, and has kindly reviewed a draft of this report. She says:<\/p>\n\n\n “These results are consistent with previous empirical studies on VAT cuts carried out in many countries and as regards a wide range of products: VAT cuts tend not to be passed through fully to consumers. So, decreasing VAT tends to help businesses, not consumers. It is also important to note that, even if the cut had been passed [to consumers], a tax cut on e-book sales would increase the regressivity of the tax system, as we know that those products are overwhelmingly consumed by those on higher incomes. So, it represents in effect a tax cut on the richest, at the time when we should be protecting the poorest.”<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n Despite this evidence, we risk repeating the ebook experience, this time with sunscreen. An MP tabled an Early Day Motion<\/a>. The House of Commons is debated cutting VAT on sunscreen <\/a>. The Government has sensibly noted that any VAT cuts may not be passed onto consumers<\/a>. The House of Commons Library has published a research paper citing our tampon pricing research<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n We hope MPs will review the evidence of the impact of well-intentioned VAT cuts, and stop lobbying for VAT cuts that will benefit industry rather than consumers.<\/p>\n\n\n We followed the same methodology we used for our “tampon tax” report last year<\/a> – a python script analysed ONS inflation data to track price movements in ebooks and other comparable products. That approach is explained in detail in our tampon tax report<\/a>, and all the code and data for our ebook analysis is on our Github<\/a>. We welcome comments and criticisms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This interactive chart (full screen version here<\/a>) shows how ebook pricing changed across the point when the 20% VAT was abolished. It’s clear there was no change at all:<\/p>\n\n\n\nBackground<\/h2>\n\n\n
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Our conclusions<\/h2>\n\n\n
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Who benefited?<\/h2>\n\n\n
What does this mean?<\/h2>\n\n\n
Methodology – analysis of ONS data<\/h2>\n\n\n